Probabilistic Events

Probabilistic Events is the fourth episode of BlazBlue: Alter Memory.

Short Summary
After a flashback of Noel first meeting Jin at the Military Academy, Hakumen's fate is revealed as he has been captured by Kokonoe of Sector Seven. Meanwhile Noel reunites with her long time friend, Makoto, and they reminisce about their days in the Academy. Meanwhile, Ragna is recovering in Lost Town with help by Taokaka and Litchi Faye-Ling. During the episode, Tsubaki begins her journey to Kagutsuchi, with the Sealed Weapon Izayoi in hand.

Long Summary
This episode starts when it flashback in Military Academy, where Noel was reading her poem she had wrote down about cats until a gust of wind blew her poem away to and Jin manage to catch her poem. Noel meet Jin for the first time, at first, Jin was friendly toward when meeting her, until he realize she looks like his sister, Saya and then Jin started to give her the cold shoulder afterward. In Sector Seven, Hakumen's fate was revealed that he has been capture and bind with a powerful Ars Magus spell created by Kokonoe that the spell can repair itself when Hakumen tries to break free. Later Rachel has a meeting with the Takamagahara System on why she used the Tsukuyomi unit and if she didn't inter, then the world would turn into ashes and the cycle with the same as last cycle, Rachel refused to tell her reason. She notice that they release Yuki Terumi from the Boundary  and they reason why because to bring out destruction to the world in which comes to a probabilistic Continuum Shift event. The Takmagahara System willing to forgive her, if she has interest coming back, but Rachel replied that they a stupid question in a sarcastic and have no interest coming back.

At the Lost Town, a while Ranga still recovering in bed, the Kaka kittens eavesdropped and they wanted to play with Ragna, but they would get scolded again until Tao comes and bring him to food to get his strength back. At first Ragna thinks it looks gross and weird, but as Tao forced him to eat it, it taste not bad. Meanwhile at Kagutsuchi at night, Noel reunite with her longtime friend, Makoto and they reminiscing the time they have with Tsubaki in Military Academy where they study about the Gigant: Take-Mikazuchi where it can only be activate for four years, and they talk about other Nox Nyctores weapon. After reminising was over, Noel wonders how Tsubaki was doing, Makoto agree, sadly and that Tsubaki will be arrive to Kagutsuchi soon which make Noel happy. Makoto tells her news about Jin was in the hospital and he's missing. No nobody knows where he is and it's possible he's defected. Noel has a feel it make be Ragna that Jin was after. The matter worse about Tsubaki transfer to the Zero Division, The Wing of Judgement and that Tsubaki was order find Jin Kisaragi and her to assassinate them.

Before arriving in Kagutsuchi, Tsubaki has a hard time with the orders given by Hazana to kill Jin and Noel whether it was right or wrong. After arriving, she visit her household and release the seal in order to get the Sealed Weapon Izayoi that she serious to use it on. After Makoto departs, Noel use her As Magus to look for Ragna in which leading to Lost Town,  as Noel was about to go to Lost Town, she encounter Litchi along the way. At first, Litchi thought she was going to capture Ragna since she from NOL so she summon her weapon, Mantenbō to prepare to fight her, but Noel tries to explain to her that it is just a misunderstanding that she no interest of capturing Ragna, but to look for him.

Locations

 * 13th Hierarchical City of Kagutsuchi
 * Lost Town
 * Kagutsuchi Port

Weapons

 * Arcus Diabolus: Bolverk (flashback)
 * Sealed Weapon Izayoi
 * Mucro Algesco: Yukianesa
 * Mucro Somnio: Musashi
 * Mantenbō

Fights
None

Trivia

 * Ragna is seen shirtless from Episode 3 until Episode 5 while being treated his injuries by Litchi. But the black birthmark on his chest is not seen.
 * In the last part of the episode, Lambda is seen in her regeneration tank wearing a black sleeveless jumpsuit instead of wearing nothing; like she does in the game. This was probably done for censorship reasons.
 * When searching for Jin and Noel in the final moments of the episode, Tsubaki is wearing her white NOL coat instead of her white cloak and eagle mask, the official Zero Squadron uniform, that she wears in story mode of BlazBlue: Continuum Shift.